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2022-08-21
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Industry forecasts: the growth of global natural rubber supply will show a fluctuating trend

the fourth ANRPC international natural rubber industry development conference was held in Haikou on the 2nd. Experts predict that the global demand for natural rubber will continue to increase in the future, but the growth rate of supply will fluctuate

China hosted the ANRPC international natural rubber industry development conference for the first time, with the theme of "responding flexibly to market changes and stabilizing natural rubber supply"

Dr. kamarul bahalain, Secretary General of the Federation of natural rubber producing countries, predicted in the "global natural rubber supply trend analysis" that the total output will reach 10.02 million tons in 2011. However, due to the fact that the new species and reseeding area of natural rubber after 2012 are higher than those in previous years, as well as the influence of climate, market and other factors, the growth rate of natural rubber in the world will fluctuate from 2012 to 2018. Except for the recovery of increase around 2015, the growth rate of natural rubber in other years will show a downward trend

robert Simmons, head of the Rubber Research Department of LMC international, analyzed that the global automobile production and trading volume determines the rubber demand. Due to the increasing demand for automobiles in emerging markets, the tire replacement rate is getting higher and higher, the tire size is increasing, and the global economic recovery, the demand for rubber is increasing. He predicted that by 2020, the average annual growth rate of global demand for natural rubber will be between 3.5-4%

JOM Jacob, chief economist of the Federation of natural rubber producing countries, said that at present, the major natural rubber producing countries in Southeast Asia, including Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia and so on, have various constraints such as aging tree age structure, lack of government subsidies, insufficient financial support, rising labor costs and the next step. Countries are taking measures to improve the output and quality of natural rubber and improve farmers' planting income

practical cooperation between China and Mongolia in agriculture should be truly promoted. Yang Shaopin, chief economist of the Ministry of agriculture, said that as an important natural rubber producing and consuming country in the world, China is willing to establish closer cooperative relations with other rubber producing countries, jointly deal with the difficulties and problems before use in industrial development, and contribute to the healthy development of the world's natural rubber industry

the Federation of natural rubber producing countries is an intergovernmental organization of major international natural rubber producing countries. It was established in October 1970, with a secretariat in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, and a total of 11 member countries. In 2007, China officially joined the conference, which is still in the stage of industrialization, informatization, urbanization, marketization and internationalization. At present, the natural rubber production of ANRPC member countries accounts for 92% of the total global supply. The main responsibilities of the Federation are to coordinate the common development strategy of the natural rubber industry of Member States, guide the international production and sales of natural rubber, and promote the exchange and cooperation of natural rubber production technology and industrial information among Member States

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